The Dangote Refinery has significantly increased its in-country petrol supply, delivering an average of 23.52 million litres per day in November 2025, up from 18.03 million litres in October, according to the latest data from the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA). The development represents a positive shift in domestic fuel availability, although it falls short of the refinery’s initial pledge to supply 35 million litres per day.
The NMDPRA’s November 2025 fact sheet, part of the regulator’s ongoing effort to enhance transparency in the downstream sector, reveals that Nigeria’s average daily petrol consumption stood at 52.9 million litres in November. This is about 5.8 percent above the government’s 2025 daily demand benchmark of 50 million litres, highlighting the continued pressure on fuel supply and the critical role of domestic refineries in bridging the demand-supply gap.
Despite not meeting its full daily target, the Dangote Refinery has announced plans to ramp up production to meet the nation’s fuel needs during the peak festive period. The 650,000 barrels-per-day refinery recently disclosed that it intends to supply 1.5 billion litres of petrol monthly in December 2025 and January 2026. According to company sources, this move is aimed at ensuring uninterrupted nationwide fuel availability, stabilising the market, and cushioning consumers against potential price volatility during high-demand periods.
Aliko Dangote, President and Chief Executive of Dangote Industries Limited, said the refinery is prepared to supply 50 million litres of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) daily beginning in December. He emphasised that the refinery’s increased output is part of a broader strategy to reduce Nigeria’s dependence on imported petrol, strengthen domestic supply chains, and support long-term fuel security in the country.
Industry analysts note that the refinery’s production increase will help reduce import dependency, relieve pressure on foreign exchange reserves, and improve overall downstream sector efficiency. The NMDPRA’s fact sheets, which are part of a new monthly reporting framework, are intended to provide real-time insight into fuel supply, consumption trends, and refinery performance, enabling better planning by regulators, marketers, and stakeholders.
While the November figures indicate progress, the gap between domestic supply and national consumption underscores the need for further scaling up of refinery output and better coordination with independent marketers. Experts suggest that sustained production at the Dangote Refinery, combined with improved distribution logistics, could meet Nigeria’s daily petrol demand more effectively and stabilise market prices.
As the country heads into the festive season, the Dangote Refinery’s commitment to increased output is expected to support seamless fuel distribution nationwide, prevent shortages, and enhance confidence in Nigeria’s downstream petroleum sector.
